Sunday, April 3, 2011

The Conversation: Ignorant Americans, Education Reform, and Budget Changes

Kevin: Here are statistics, according to another dismal article, about the ignorance, negligence, gullibility and shortsightedness of many Americans:
75% can't name more than one of the five freedoms stipulated in the First Amendment
70% did not know what Roe v. Wade was in 1986
75% did not know the duration of a senator's term
80% did not know that each state has 2 senators
60% could not name the 3 branches of government
51% did know that the U.S. dropped the nuclear bomb
15% could not grasp the fact that we have a heliocentric solar system

Harry: But what causes this ignorance among our population? Could it be the education system, or another factor, such as the power of religion on certain areas of the nation? Just a proposition. And what do you do about it? Make government news programs that all are forced to watch?

Kevin: Well, a lot of this is pretty basic stuff one learns in a public school social studies classroom. It shouldn't take a mandatory lecture by the government for someone to pick up on the fact that the earth revolves around the sun. I think the real problem is we just don't have much global awareness because we're so glued to distractions, entertainment and other frivolous media.

Harry: Kevin, you may be correct, but what can you do? How can we limit the distractions?

Kevin: Your point earlier, about government action, was a good one. Maybe the budget could make more room for education since it currently only encompasses just under 3% of the federal budget. What other unnecessary stuff would you cut out from here?

Harry: Besides cutting down on both Medicare and Social Security, I would focus more heavily on reforming the educational system. I feel that, as of now, it is in a sub-optimal state of affairs.

Kevin: You mean privatizing the educational system?

Harry: That's an option, along with raking teachers via a merit system, not a seniority one. That is the main problem I see with the system at this time.

Kevin: So you would get rid of tenure, but what about the broader budget? What would you change? In this Pew poll, 62% said they wanted to increase education, while roughly 40% wanted to decrease health care spending. What do you make of that? And, also, just to support my earlier point about cutting down on defense spending, now 31% of pollsters say they want to increase military spending, a 10% drop in just two years.

Harry: Nowadays, people are looking at large class sizes more than healthcare coverage, at least in the demographic that pole was taken in. All of the reports of America falling behind are shifting the focus of the public to another issue. On education, I would make the system more privatized to save money on the governments part, as the only costs the government would pay would be in subsides, and these could be on a case by case basis. With regards to military spending, the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan have turned the public away from military spending, which explains the shift in direction.

Kevin: I agree. The government should end its two wars quickly, spend less on military and more on education, and create a lot charter schools. The competition and innovation that would follow would be beneficial. But wouldn't it also be unequally spread across the nation since charter schools are subsidized locally? That is, poorer communities would have inferior schools.

Harry: The two wars that we are currently in cannot be ended very quickly. The charter schools that are created can be distributed (if that is the right word) evenly across the nation. State money could be used as a base for all schools, and then the local communities continue from there with their own money.

Kevin: Right, I understand that all charter schools would start with an even amount of state subsidies. I guess some schools would just end up with inferior facilities due to less local subsidies. With regards to the two wars, you may want to add a third one. The said the US military was winding down in Iraq, but there seems to be no such thing as a full withdrawal since we still have troops in Germany. (There are also probably still private contractors in Iraq.) So that leaves us with Afghanistan, Iraq, and Libya now. (A.I.L., as in these bloody wars are 'ailing' our nation's economy, reputation, and troops.)

Harry: We cannot turn completely inwards at a time like this. If we do, then we will be giving up a serious opportunity to influence events in the Arab world that could beneficially impact the U.S. This change must occur gradually. But with a cutback on Social Security, Medicare, and Defense, we can, with time, reform our educational system and withdraw troops from conflicts. 'Gradually' is the key word. We must take this one step at a time. Our withdrawal from Iraq and Afghanistan must be gradual, or else serious problems could occur. But, we can do it.

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The Conversation: Libya

Kevin: Here are the Pew poll statistics about how the public views the conflict in Libya: 47% think airstrikes were the right decision, 60% believed involvement in Libya would last "for some time," 39% thought the U.S. coalition lacked a coherent goal, with 46% opting for Gaddafi's ouster and only 43% voting to focus more on civilian protection.

I have a few questions, Harry, but they all pertain the effectiveness of the United States' operations there. How can we be so sure that our involvement will be brief when we have a tendency for setting new records on our nation's longest wars? And how can we be sure that a multilateral effort will not become dysfunctional under an incoherent agenda?


Harry: Involvement in a situation like this cannot be 'brief,' as in six months of operations. However, military involvement can be brief, as we have the resources to move quickly and crush Gaddafi. We also have an obligation to protect civilians, and we can do that by removing Gaddafi. Our efforts at the present time will allow for a stalemate. What about all the civilians under Gaddafi's rule? We must protect them as well. Anyhow, back to my main idea, after Gaddafi is removed from power, we can progressively scale down our military involvement until we leave the area under its new government. Our agenda has been defined under various United Nations resolutions. But, those goals need to be expanded.

Kevin: We sort of had the same 'progressively-scaling-down-military-involvement' mentality in Iraq, except it took us 8 years to scale down there. Aren't these in-and-out military operations much more complex than they seem? Remember the fiasco during the Somali Civil War/Operation Gothic Serpent? On the other hand, the 1999 bombing campaigns on Yugoslavia were enough to pull Yugoslav troops out of Kosovo and to end a genocide--overall, a successful 3-month campaign despite many civilian casualties. Anyway, back to my original point, these operations are wild cards; they can go either way, often with unintended consequences.

Harry: Gothic Serpent did not go well mainly because of (I'm talking about the Battle of Mogadishu here) improper air support. We have a large coalition backing us here. We can pull off military involvement (what I meant by the 'six months' thing) very quickly. To respond to your other point, all military actions have 'unintended consequences' in some way. In fact, all international actions have these. We can foresee some of the ripples that this involvement will make. We cannot foresee others. But, that does not mean we should not do anything.

Kevin: Sure, we have a lot of manpower and might be able to pull this off in six months or under. But what is meant by 'this': deposing Gaddafi or protecting civilians? Or do they go hand in hand?

Harry: I feel that deposing Gaddafi and protecting civilians do go hand in hand, as Gaddafi is the one attacking civilians in the first place. He also has civilians in his areas, and he will try to engage them in some way. Gaddafi will also wait for the UN to move on to other matters, and then just attack the rebels again. So, if we do not finish the job now, it will come back and bite us.

Kevin: So how do you think this will all play out? Is it like David Brooks says, that Gaddafi could be deposed in three different ways: by being defeated by the rebel army, by voluntarily exiling himself before he gets killed, or by his own minions defecting and leading to the collapse of his entire regime?

Harry: Option number one will not happen now. It could have happened about two weeks after the start of the rebellion. It would be problematic for us if Gaddafi exiles himself, as he is a known terrorist supporter and leader, so I think we will take measures to prevent that from occurring. The third option is the most viable. Gaddafi's lieutenants and mercenaries will stop fighting for him, and either run away or defect. This can occur rather quickly, if we show the proper amount of force.

Kevin: Rather quickly, you say? 200 Tomahawks have been fired already, 193 from the United States. (Talk about equally shared efforts in a coalition. What can you do?) We're also bombing the Libyan army to smithereens and attacking their psyches with radio transmissions telling them that there is little hope in favor of Gaddafi. As Admiral Gortney said recently, "Our message to the regime troops is simple: Stop fighting, stop killing your own people, stop obeying the orders of Colonel Gaddafi."

Harry: This seems rather quickly to me. Yes, we do take a good deal of the costs, but, like you said, it's either that, or nothing gets done. Gaddafi's military will fall apart in about six months or less. Once he cannot pay his men, most of the remaining ones will defect.

Kevin: So what happens after we get rid of Gaddafi? Democracy doesn't just instantly blossom; it takes years of cultivation as we see in Iraq. As the New York Times' Ross Douthat explains, "Twice in the last two decades, in Iraq and the former Yugoslavia, the United States has helped impose a no-flight zone. In both cases, it was just a stepping-stone to further escalation: bombing campaigns, invasion, occupation and nation-building."


Harry: After we remove Gaddafi, we will be able to scale down our military involvement in the situation. After Gaddafi, help must be provided to the Libyans to properly rebuild their nation. But, that will take less money. At that stage, the only military forces there would be involved in reconstruction and aid operations.


Kevin: Less money? Really? Each troop currently deployed in Afghanistan costs $1 million per year. Isn't nation-building usually the most expensive part about this? I thought it took more money and more time.

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Islam is Peaceful; Man is Violent

Earlier today 12 UN workers were killed by an Afghan mob protesting the burning of the Quran by Florida pastor Terry Jones. Mr. Jones has previously stated, "Islam is of the devil," and was originally planning to burn 200 copies of the Quran. This kind of unfounded generalization can only hurt U.S. interests in the Middle East.

Today Islamic radicals distort the meaning of “jihad” to justify terrorism. But rather than blame religion for violence, blame human nature, blame people.

According to a Pew poll, 35% said Islam is “more likely to encourage violence than other religions.” Many Islamophobics call Islam a “religion of the sword” because Muhammad used violence. But the Prophet was born in the violent milieu of Arabia, where Muslims had to wage jihad (a struggle) to keep the word of God alive.

Ancient Muslims had no choice but to wage war because they lived in a hostile environment, where it was kill or be killed. The typical code of warfare would seem barbaric to today’s morality. Vengeance was ingrained in society. To limit blood feuds, Arab tribes adhered to the Law of Retribution, similar to “an eye for an eye.” Other traditions included: rape, torture, molestation, mutilation, the murder of noncombatants, and caravan raids, which were considered a “national sport.” As unholy as these occurrences were, eventually Muslims improved the conditions of warfare and outlawed the wanton destruction that was hitherto considered the norm.

Although the Quran contains verses that seem violent, they are exclusively meant for Muhammad’s enemies. The Quran says “slay the polytheists,” “carry the struggle to the hypocrites who deny the faith,” and “fight those who do not believe in God”—but these verses were specifically meant to sanction self-defense against the Quraysh, the biggest threat to Islam back then.

The Quraysh was a group of elitist, capitalist Meccan tribes who held an economic and religious monopoly over Arabia. They controlled and reaped all the financial and political benefits that came with the Kaba, a universal shrine where any pagan Arabian could stop by and worship. This religious and economic hegemony allowed some Qurayshis to become wealthy, while the rest remained poor. When Muhammad preached against inequality and polytheism, he quickly became an enemy of the Quraysh. In order to defend himself and his Ummah, he adopted a “just war theory” known as jihad.

Since Muhammad refuted the notion of a “holy war,” it is unfair to portray Islam as a “religion of the sword.” The Prophet believed war was either just or unjust. Jihad permitted Muslims to struggle against internal sinful obstacles or against external oppression. It was not a religious sanction to wage war, but rather a form of self-defense given “only to those who have been oppressed.”

The doctrine of fighting only in retaliation was perhaps the most telling example of Muhammad’s passiveness. “Do not begin hostilities; God does not like the aggressor,” the Quran says. “But if the enemy desists, then you must also cease hostilities.” While in Medina, the Prophet only ordered bloodless caravan raids against the Qurayash. During the Battle of Badr, Muhammad refused for days to strike first. During the march to the Kaba in 628, Muhammad agreed to a ceasefire and returned home peacefully when he could have easily destroyed the weakened Quraysh. He even spared two Jewish clans that brazenly committed treason, a crime punishable by death. The third Jewish clan that committed treason, the Banu Qurayza, was not so lucky; the clansmen were enslaved and executed. But it was the clan’s protector, not Muhammad, that decided on such a draconian punishment. Thus, in almost every occasion Muhammad preached a peaceful, merciful Islam.

Tolerance and religious freedom are peaceful elements of Islam. “There can be no compulsion in religion,” the Quran says. “To you your religion; to me mine.” After Muslims conquered a region, they did not force its inhabitants to convert, nor did they encourage it. Under Ottoman rule, non-Muslims retained their autonomy and religious freedom because Muslims believed God, Yahweh, and Allah were all the same. These religious communities, known as millets, actually benefited from Islam since they faced lighter taxes and less discrimination. Under the devshirme system, the sultan recruited non-Muslims into the upper echelons of the empire. Not only were Christians and Jews spared, but they were given freedom, autonomy, and opportunities.

In modern times, Islam has been portrayed as a “religion of the sword” locked in irrepressible conflict with the West and the United States, but there are two fallacies with this notion. First, it is people, not religion, that actually partake in conflict; violence, competition and survival are human imperatives. Second, Islamic and Western forms of government are not incompatible. In fact, several prominent Muslims have vouched for an Islamic-Western hybrid style of government.

Consider Hassan al-Banna, the founder of the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, who vouched for a society that was both modern and Islamic. He wanted to combine an updated version of Shariah law with Western education, social welfare, and democracy. However, the trouble came when Egypt’s Colonel Gamal Abd al-Nasser imprisoned and executed most of the Brotherhood. While in jail, Sayyid Qutb radicalized his Brothers and realized that violence was the easiest way to establish his social goal: the “Islamization” of society. Islam itself did not radicalize Qutb since he was originally a peaceful al-Banna follower. Qutb merely used Islam as a tool to justify violent. He fanaticized religion for his own socio-political goals.

Thus, this idea that Islam is “a religion of the sword” is wrong. Islam calls for peace, tolerance, and religious freedom. Any notion of violence was meant specifically to be passive and retaliatory, and was meant to be used exclusively against the Quraysh. In short, Muslims realized they had to fight to keep the word of Allah alive, and so it is written in the Quran. But that does not exonerate the terrorists responsible for 9/11.

Today, Jihadists cite Muhammad’s violent struggle and twist the Quran to justify their political and social agenda. But the extremists who invoke jihad to murder innocents only speak for themselves. They do not speak for all of Islam, and they certainly do not speak for Muhammad. To paraphrase Reza Aslan, fanaticism is a “false idol” of Islam that, like the false deities of the Kaba, must be purged.

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Saturday, March 19, 2011

Nuclear Boy

Please don't ask why this is enjoyable. It just is.

http://lewis.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/3689/nuclear-boy

This is the armscontrolwonk link to it, but it can be found by searching for the term on google.

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Friday, March 18, 2011



About time. It seems that Harry was correct.
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Wednesday, March 16, 2011

The Next Three Days: The End of the Libyan Rebellion

Since mid-febuary, there has been a revolution in Libya against Colonel Mummar Gaddafi. Rebel forces have been attempting to oust the Dictator, who has been controlling Libya since the late 1970's. For a bit more than a month, the world has stood by and watched as the Rebel forces fought hard against a superior army, and has listened to their cries for help. We all hoped that the rebels would be able to defeat Gaddafi on their own. And, for a time, it seemed that was possible. But, as time went on, the rebels started slipping. They had overextended themselves, confident that they could defeat the Dictator, and confident that the west wold give them a boost if needed. They payed the price for this ambition, as you and I watched key strategic points that the freedom-fighters held fall back into the hands of the Colonel. Al Zawiya, Ras Lanusf, and countless other cities have fallen into Gaddafi's hands. The rebels have continued to cry for help. Finally, the world began to react. NATO began to discuss a no-fly zone, and a serous bid began in the UN Security Council for a no-fly zone resolution. The Arab league approved a no-fly zone. But nothing has been done to help the rebels and give them fighting chance. Now, most previous measures will not work. Gaddafi will not be forced to the negotiating table. Humanitarian aid will not help. Just giving the rebels guns will not allow for them to overcome the Dictator. We, as the free world, have been passive, and now we will pay the price. We must make the tough decisions, and deal with the consequences.

As of now, there are only two completely feasible options. The first, to invade the country of Libya, bring Gaddafi down ourselves, and then help the Rebels build their own democracy. The second, to let the revolution die, and try and wash the blood off our hands.

The United States, even with its currently limited forces in the area, could quickly carry out option number one. The vessels that I mentioned in the previous article could quickly be converted to carry out military operations, and they could land. Tripoli could be taken in a matter of hours, and Benghazi could be fortified by a small force in the same amount of time. The 75th regiment as well as the 1st operational detachment could be there quickly, and Gaddafi will be overwhelmed by superior forces. American losses will be extremely low. That timeline is for just US involvement. More ships from other nations are already near to Libya. Italy is very close. Various other nations, if convinced, could very quickly give direct support to an attack on Gaddafi's forces. But someone must make the first move. A nation must take the initiative, and begin this operation. The United States is one of the Nations in a good position to do this.
The Second option is too horrible to contemplate. The forces of "freedom" and "liberty" stand by while the rebels are slaughtered in Benghazi. It will be brutal. Gaddafi will kill every last individual in that city. It will be a great victory for him, and all other dictators in the world. For this victory will show that the rest of the world will stand aside while slaughter occurs, and will give dictators open license to crush any rebellion with no fear of retribution.

Whatever occurs, the clock is ticking. The next three days will decide the fate of the Rebellion. I hope that the world makes the right decision. But if the world waits, that it will be made without our consent. It may be a decision we come to regret.

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Saturday, March 12, 2011

Tsunami in Japan

The recent 8.8 earthquake in Japan (March 11) raises some serious questions for the readiness of the United State response system. There is not a better infrastructure in place to withstand earthquakes or a better immediate response system to earthquakes than in Japan. Despite this, the Tokyo Broadcasting System (TBS) reported that a total of 1,100 people are either dead or missing

Over the next four years in California, there is a 94 percent chance that an earthquake magnitude 7 or higher will strike in the next thirty years. We know it's coming. The problem is can we do anything about it? There are massive earthquake drills in California that occur once an year. Only one in five Californians takes part in them. One appropriate course of action might be to engage in infrastructure projects to improve the stability of buildings.

How about putting more money in research and development for earthquake prediction? There would be countless lives saved if we somehow figure out when the next quake would hit. Thoughts?
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Tuesday, March 8, 2011

The Teetering Revolutions

The last few months have marked a change in the Arab world, as uprisings against oppressive dictatorships have spread across the land like wildfire. The one currently making the most headlines is the Libyan uprising. But how long will armed resistance continue without outside military support? President Obama and his staff have put out various statements which all follow the path of 'military intervention.' Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has said, "Nothing is off the table so long as the Libyan Government continues to threaten and kill Libyans." But how long can these revolts survive without serious intervention? Sadly, not that long.

The Libyan military has been cut down greatly due to the recent uprising, but is still a formidable force for the rebels to take on. The main danger is the 32nd Brigade, and is well armed and trained by western military forces. They have various Soviet T-model tanks, ranging from the T-54 model to the T-72 model. They have various artillery pieces, and a wide range of Surface to Air Missiles. They have AK-47 variants, as well as medium and heavy machine guns. The Libyan Air force has, possibly, MiG-25 fighters and Tu-22 bombers. The Rebel forces, on the other hand, have whatever weapons could be obtained, which are at best AK variants and Heavy Machine Guns mounted on trucks, and at worst rocks and slingshots. The rebel forces are not unified completely. As the Libyan Governmental forces continue to go head to head with rebels, the Governmental forces WILL COME OUT ON TOP. The revolution will die, and Col. Gaddafi will remain in power. But what can be done? Intervention is the answer. And the United States is one of the only countries that can provide this intervention.

As of now, one of the ideas being debated is to establish a no-fly zone over Libya to prevent further civilian deaths at the hands of Gaddafi's soldiers. In a recent New York Times article by John Broder, a senior administration official has been quoted as saying “There hasn’t been discussion that I’m aware of related to military intervention beyond that, and a discussion of that nature would have to begin at the U.N.” But this will never be carried out. The Russian Federation and the PRC will not allow an effective policy to work.

Currently, there are several warships from various nations in the area around Libya for refugee rescue purposes. From the United States, the USS Kearsarge, a Wasp-Class amphibious assault ship which has various support helicopters, Harrier Jump-jets, and 1,893 marines, the USS Ponce, an Austin-Class amphibious transport dock carrying various amphibious vehicles, and the USS Barry, a missile destroyer have been sent to deal with the situation. Various other ships from different nations are approaching the area as well. But, the rebels will not be able to sustain their current efforts, for reasons already stated. So, what shall be done?

One option that has been gaining attention is the establishment of a No-Fly Zone over the area. This would be a step in the right direction, but it is truly not enough. The best move the United States can make, without actual military force, is supplying the rebels with weaponry. This will level the playing field for the Rebels, and maybe even give them an edge in this battle.

The Obama Administration has displayed the idea that this revolution be "organic." That foreign intervention will label the United States as Imperialist. But what if "organic" power is not enough? What kind of message will Gaddafi coming out on top send to all of the other Arab countries that are clamoring for democracy? What will the repercussions be? The risks of the defeat of the rebellion are too great to be passed over. These moments will decide if the Middle East will be free of dictatorship and democratic, or if various Dictators shall remain in power. Hopefully, the world will make the right decisions to make sure that the former occurs, not the latter.


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Monday, January 31, 2011

Oil for Food

The term "green" has undergone an overhaul in the past several decades, as the topic of "climate change" was brought to the forefront of global attention. But the world is ignoring the simple fact that we will run out of oil before highly detrimental climate-related events will occur. Then, we won't be worrying about saving the environment, but about FOOD. Oil and food, as of now, are inherently connected, and this interdependency puts the globe at great risk. But why?

The fact is, most of the great powers in the world today use Nitrogenous-Based fertilizers to aide in farming, because using these fertilizers greatly increases the output of food in the area. "Fertilizer-N efficiency on corn in the US has increased more than 30% over the last 20 years..." state Paul E. Fixen and Ford B. West. But, to produce these fertilizers, a massive amount of fuel is required. Lets take one kilogram of fertilizer. To produce this, 1.4-1.8 liters of diesel fuel must be used. "Using the low figure of 1.4 liters diesel equivalent per kilogram of nitrogen, this equates to the energy content of 15.3 billion liters of diesel fuel, or 96.2 million barrels" states Dale Allen Pfeiffer in his article Eating Fossil Fuels. If this is the amount of fuel required to make 1 kilogram of fertilizer, the world is going to run out of oil quite fast if the human population keeps increasing at the rate it currently is. If the human population could be 9.2 billion by 2050, oil will be scarce. By the same token, food production will drop quickly, and, due to increasing food prices from this drop, inhabitants of poorer countries will begin to starve. These are the facts. But what can be done?

First and foremost, people need to STOP HAVING BABIES!!! If the population stops rapidly increasing, it will allow humanity to have some breathing space, and have valuable time to experiment with other fertilizers. If the population can be cut back to five billion at most, great forward progress will have been achieved.

Second, a complete overhaul of the world's energy system must occur, to free up valuable oil for Fertilizer production. This would be most effective if nuclear power was used, but any means of power production that does not involve oil will help.

Third, a new fertilizer production method must be found. Whatever the effort, an alternative must be found. Otherwise, all of these measures will be for nothing, and mass starvation will, inevitably, set in.

Humanity is in a race against time. If these measures are not implemented quickly, human civilization in this modern time faces destruction.

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Saturday, January 29, 2011

Exonians React to the State of the Union (Courtesy of The Exonian)

Our Sputnik Moment


This Tuesday, in front of a divided Congress and a TV audience of 26 million, President Barack Obama declared, in a cautiously optimistic tone, "This is our generation’s Sputnik moment."

Wait—you may ask, what qualifies today as a Sputnik moment? How is it that Obama is equating a cold war Space Race to our moment in history?

Today, the United States is in the middle of a crossroads. China, India and other rapidly developing countries are threatening America’s superpower status. Our economy, despite a year of consistent employment gains, is still sputtering along. Our civil society is plagued by a rancorous, even detrimental public discourse, something that may have contributed to the fatal shootings in Tucson, Arizona. We are fourteen trillion dollars in debt to countries like China—a debt that increases $50,000 every second, according to the U.S. Debt Clock.
At the end of the day, this may be what distinguished the State of the Union Address from the incredible rhetoric that Obama usually provides—the speech was a frank assessment of America’s place in the world, along with the reminder that the United States’ destiny is not written for us, but by us. Obama’s empowering, even nationalistic declaration of a "Sputnik moment" in our history comes with a hint of caution but also inspiration – after all, we have the power to shape our destiny, just like the Americans fifty years ago who defied the odds to help the U.S. win the Space Race.

The heavy whopping that the Democrats took in the November 2010 elections brought to Washington a wave of Republicans, who took over the House and gained a larger minority in the Senate. Realizing that he could not advance his liberal agenda, Obama decided, Tuesday night, to tell the American people that he would focus on creating a slimmer, more efficient government that would only target investments at key areas. In energy, Obama set a goal that 80% of American energy will be clean by 2035 and one million electric vehicles by 2015. In education, he vowed to make a permanent tuition tax credit of $10,000 for four years of college. In infrastructure, Obama aimed to provide 98% of Americans with high speed internet by 2015, along with high-speed rail access to 80% of the population. And to pay for these investments, Obama would freeze annual domestic spending for the next five years (thereby reducing the deficit by $400 billion), and restructure the government for the first time in many decades.

It is clear, therefore, that Obama wants to move towards the center. His vision of government, at least for the next two years, is a leaner, more efficient driving force for economic growth. As a liberal, I am a little upset by his move to the center – but I recognize the enormity of U.S. debt and the divisiveness of Congress forces him to do so. The American people, as a whole, also recognize the compromises he’s making, which is why 92% of viewers approve of the speech, according to a CBS News Poll.

Now, many Republicans who watched the speech last night will complain. They will complain about the lack of specificity in Obama’s policies and plans. They will, as usual, say that the government is too big and that we have to rein in the deficit. They will blindly tell Americans that Obama is spending too much, and instead of investing in education, infrastructure and scientific research, Obama should have pumped money into the corporations of the richest 1% in the nation so that the wealth trickles down to all the rest of us.

The Republicans can continue to follow their talking points, as Representatives Paul Ryan and Michelle Bachmann did in their responses to the State of the Union. Or they can realize that, in the words of Obama, "each of us is a part of something greater—something more consequential than party or political preference." Obama has made some big compromises, and conservatives must make theirs.

That said, Obama’s theme throughout the speech, interestingly enough, was the past versus the future, not the left versus the right, as in previous addresses. He dedicated only a minute to encouraging bipartisanship and the differences between each party in an hour-long speech. His rhetoric, instead of "let’s work together, democrats and republicans," was "let’s win the future, like we did a half century ago with the Space Race." The nationalistic tone was a fresh departure from the politically dominated rhetoric that Obama usually employs. After all, when it’s the U.S. versus China, South Korea or India, bipartisanship is a given.

Obama found his footing for the next two years on Tuesday night. His blueprint is to pursue a leaner, smaller government that remains a central driving force of America’s economy to push America forward. "That’s how we’ll win the future," Obama said. In a way, Obama, on Tuesday, felt like a mix of FDR, Clinton and Reagan. Obama’s defense of Social Security and investment in target areas felt like an excerpt from a FDR speech; his heavy focus on the economy and jobs in the speech were reminiscent of Clinton’s "it’s the economy, stupid" slogan in his campaign; and the nationalistic, cold-war, and "race for the future" rhetoric reminded Americans of a Reagan speech. All in all, it was a speech that amalgamated the styles of three great presidents into one, and a state of the union that may very well signal the turning point to the next surge of the United States.

As Obama affirmed yesterday, "We do big things." Yes, indeed – we do big things. This country was the first nation to be founded on the idea of liberty, a republic that saved others from tyranny — and forty-one years after we won the Space Race, the President on Tuesday called on all of us to compete for the future of the 21st century together.
 

In Obama, Republicans See One of Their Own


President Obama laid out a sweeping agenda for governance in the coming year in his State of the Union address last night. Touching on a vast array of topics, the hour-long speech sought to reframe his presidency and redefine his agenda in response to the results of the midterm elections.

And yet, for all of the rhetorical flourish, there was something distinctly off-putting about the President’s proposals: they weren’t his. Many of them, in fact, have been expressed for years from the other side of the aisle, often loudly so. On issues such as the 1099 rule-- a clause in the President’s health care legislation that obliges businesses to fill out IRS forms for every $600 they spend-- his remarks ran directly contrary to the agenda Obama has pursued for the past two years.

However infuriating this may have been, it’s important to see this development for what it is-- a jump onto the Republican bandwagon. It’s a retreat from the political alliance between Obama and the congressional Democrats, and a surrender to cogent economic arguments from the right. But the President’s shift transcends the back-and-forth of politics. His embrace of reforms that will make government "more affordable… more competent and efficient" will benefit all Americans.

The President even seemed to be reading from a Republican wish list at times. Cutting domestic spending, ending earmarks, cutting the corporate tax rate, simplifying the tax code, advancing on free trade agreements, slashing business regulation, consolidating federal agencies-- there was honestly very little for someone of my political stripe to dislike.
It was about more than just backtracking on past policy, though: President Obama nearly repudiated his vision for the proper role of the federal government. "None of us can predict with certainty what the next big industry will be, or where the new jobs will come from," he said. "I’m not sure how we’ll reach that better place beyond the horizon, but I know we’ll get there. I know we will." Did he not advocate for billions of dollars in industry-specific subsidies over the past two years? Was all of this money spent on a false pretense, on shaky economic reasoning-- as Republicans have argued time and again?

When Obama defended the most significant accomplishments of his time in office, he struck a conciliatory tone that left nearly everything open for negotiation. It was far from the defiant "line in the sand" speech that I imagine some hard-line liberals would have desired. While he said, for example, that he "will not hesitate to create or enforce commonsense safeguards to protect the American people," he also pledged to fix rules that "put an unnecessary burden on businesses." While he vowed to defend specific elements of his health care law, such rules on pre-existing conditions, he wanted to be "the first to say that anything can be improved." What happened to his apparently unwavering confidence as he pushed for cap-and-trade or health care bills? Are these misgivings political or heartfelt?

His rhetoric, however, seemed to stray when he addressed export industries. At three points in his speech, Obama construed world trade as a zero-sum game: the more we export, then the less we import, and the more jobs we have, and the better off we are, according to his logic. This is plainly false. It’s mercantilism-- the flawed notion that national prosperity only comes from shipping out more than you ship in. "The more we export, the more jobs we create at home," Obama said. "At stake is whether new jobs and industries take root in this country, or somewhere else…[and whether] we want to win the future—if we want innovation to produce jobs in America and not overseas."

Innovation can and will produce new jobs and industries both in America and overseas, making Obama’s attachment to exports disturbing. Are we somehow better off if the goods we produce and sell get shipped overseas, where they cannot be used by Americans? Or is it just because that the export industry is made up of large corporations with deeply-entrenched political influence? Does he intend to favor these companies—such as General Electric and JPMorgan, from which he’s recruited top advisers—at the expense of the domestic service industry, which is less politically organized?

While the President’s new stance represented some progress on our gaping fiscal deficit, his comments were hardly impressive in this regard. He did manage to throw cold water on those who had hoped the issue might disappear, saying that "we have to stop pretending." He said it was time to "confront the fact that our government spends more than it takes in. That is not sustainable." Yet when it came to the moment where he might propose the deep, painful cuts to entitlements needed to even out revenues and spending, this gravity vanished. He spoke vaguely about "reducing health care costs" for Medicare and Medicaid and a "bipartisan solution to strengthen Social Security," and there was a reason for this ambiguity. There is no such thing as a government policy that could provide us with health care that’s cheaper, better, and more accessible all at the same time. There are trade-offs, Mr. President, which you have failed to acknowledge.

The President’s case for fiscal discipline wasn’t helped by how he seemed to congratulate his own efforts, which represent only the tiniest fraction of the austerity required. "This freeze will require painful cuts...[and] I’ve proposed cuts to things I care deeply about, like community action programs." Does the President really think that solving our fiscal crisis will come down to, say, scaling down the Forest Service or faith-based initiatives? No, the choices our federal government will have to make in order to live within its means will be much more painful. It will mean deciding between treating terminal cancer under Medicare or teaching electives in public high schools. Is he prepared to make those kinds of choices? Is the American public prepared for those sorts of decisions?

But despite these objections, the President has swung with "the pendulum of public opinion, at least on economic issues," as Joss van Seventer ’10 predicted in The Exonian last year. Obama has accepted that "the world has changed" and that his capacity to change it is significantly limited. Like all those he follows, the presidency has humbled him. He’s relegated himself to the only power a president can honestly claim to have—the nation’s tone-setter, its cheerleader, its public face. He may "spur on" progress, but—as he put it himself—it’s the "free enterprise system [that] drives innovation."
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Monday, January 24, 2011

A Response to Health Care Post


I feel that it is necessary to begin with the title of this piece itself. Republicans, of course, are not proposing to repeal healthcare--that statement is inane--they are intent on repealing the regulatory legislation on health insurance and passed by the past Congress and signed by President Obama. This is a deliberate confusion that liberals make to refute libertarian ideas, one which dates back 150 years to the famous French economist Frederic Bastiat. Bastiat writes:

"Socialism, like the old policy from which it emanates, confounds Government and society. And so, every time we object to a thing being done by Government, it concludes that we object to its being done at all...They might as well accuse us of wishing men not to eat, because we object to the cultivation of corn by the State."

This is an important point in that your argument is built upon the notion that undoing health reforms would be tantamount to eliminating healthcare. It would not be so.

Second, you charge that the January 19 vote to repeal the legislation was "partisanship at its finest." The vote to repeal the legislation passed with a far larger majority (245 votes) than did the original bill (218), so would it not be fair to describe the legislation as "partisanship at its finest"? Additionally, 3 Democrats voted against their party in favor of repeal, whereas no Republicans voted against their party in its favor at the time it was originally passed. 38 Democrats even voted against the bill. Your charge of high partisanship is eminently a double standard.

When you venture in to deficit analysis, your reasoning is terribly misleading. First, you fail to note that the legislation has been gamed to produce a favorable outcome for Democrats at the Congressional Budget Office. For example, the bill pays for 6 years of subsidies with 10 years of taxes by delaying the start of subsidies by four years. Naturally, this budget trick will become obvious in a decade when it is discovered to be insolvent. The idea of any budgetary savings from this legislation is a statistical artifact and a convenient political myth for Democrats. Second, "fiscally responsible" is not increasing taxes more sharply than you increase spending -- the nature of the President's health policy -- it is reducing the size and scope of government through cuts to both spending and taxation.



While the definition of a right is a topic outside the scope of this reply, suffice it to say that the idea of healthcare as a right is utterly inconsistent with the rights of Americans at the federal level. Observe, for example, that the Bill of Rights as framed by our Founders safeguard negative liberty, as opposed to the notion of "positive liberty" espoused by those hungry for centralized authority. Rights "to" something, such as healthcare, are positive; rights "from" something, such as tyranny, are negative. Consider, additionally, the implications of your immediate moral assumption that "health care is a right for all human beings." If A is considered a universal right, than why not B, C, D, and so forth?

Your third assertion is that "there [sic] lack of choice has not lead [sic] them to miss out on anything." This is plainly untrue. The world operates on the idea of scarce resources -- this should be familiar to the reader -- and the efficiency of their allocation is the operative answer to whether the world is prosperous or poor. Fundamentally, there is an enormous opportunity cost to mandating that the government provide healthcare. The required levels of taxation alone are enough to crush an economy -- consider the slew of debt crises across Europe -- and the government is forcing a decision upon its constituents. They must trade the set of all possible outcomes (using that money to attend college, open a business, buy equipment, etc.) for a suboptimal one that operates in a zero-sum, not mutual-gain, economic paradigm.

As to your final point, I would remind you of the Democratic heroes who strove to achieve a goal that many naysayers deemed to be unattainable. Your dismissal of our own goals is unwarranted.

I write this in good faith that I have clarified the issues at stake for you and whoever else may happen to read this response.



Best,
Evan Soltas
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Sunday, January 23, 2011

Republicans attempt to Repeal Health Care

 Republicans tried to repeal Health Care on January 19, 2011. Since all 242 Republicans in the house voted for repealing it, it's certainly partisanship at its finest.


In a report, the Congressional Budget Office said that repealing the 2010 Health Care law would increase the federal budget deficit by a total of $145 billion from 2012 to 2019, and by $230 billion from 2012 to 2021. Republicans usually stand on the platform that laws and policies should be fiscally responsible. From these numbers, it seems that repealing health care would be quite the opposite.


Also, as I'm sure you all know, we have about 30 million uninsured people in the U.S. (I know not all of them want to be insured, but I think it's safe to say that a majority of them do). Repealing health care would keep these people from getting coverage.


Some Republicans argue that it is not the U.S.'s duty to pay for other people's health care, similar to the fact that the U.S. does not pay for housing or cars. I argue that health care is a basic right for all human beings, and therefore the U.S. government should pay for it. (Elective surgeries are a completely different topic.)


Republicans are also trying to repeal this bill because they believe that it is unconstitutional to require people to buy Health Care. The Supreme Court is bound to agree with them later this year. In countries throughout the European Union, people are required to buy health care. Obviously, their lack of choice has not lead them to miss out on anything.


It also does not make any sense to me as to why Republicans would repeal this bill when it is not going to pass through the Senate and would definitely be vetoed by the President. The more viable and less partisan course of action would be instead to pass amendments to the bill. The symbolic action that House Republicans have taken part in is completely unnecessary. 


-Rohan
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Thursday, January 20, 2011

Blogroll

I added you guys to our blogroll so hopefully you'll get some traffic. You probably want some posts though.

http://phillipsexeterrepublicanclub.blogspot.com/

(Link to EPU is below archive list)
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Sunday, January 16, 2011

Obama's Tuscon Speech

    For those of you who haven't yet watched or heard from Barack Obama's Tuscon speech this past week, you should definitely take a look. Many Republicans and Democrats have called the speech his best one yet.  
                                                                                      
   This speech was great because it really touched on the topic of strong rhetoric between both Democrats and Republicans. The question now is whether Republicans and Democrats will actually change their behavior. On "Meet the Press", Senator Chuck Schumer (D-NY) said that he would sit alongside his Republican counter parts during this Wednesday's State of the Union Address. The State of the Union Address is one of the events where party politics is usually most decisive; the members of one party are often found giving a standing ovation, while the members of the other party stay seated and nod their heads in disapproval. The act of sitting together will be more symbolic than anything else. The real question is if Republicans will still try to completely repeal something like the recent Health Care Reform, when they know that any new Health Care bill in the house will not pass through the Senate and will be vetoed by the President. Thoughts?
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Exeter Political Union Blog

Hello everybody!

This blog is a means of communication for anybody who wants to post about a specific topic. Democrats, Socialists, Republicans, and Anarchists are all welcome. No matter your political leaning, feel free to contribute. Also, if you are part of a specific club that supports a certain cause, such as GSA, JHR, Amnesty International, INK, ESSO, EAC, Economics Club, Model U.N. etc, feel free to write about any relevant topic.

Regards,
Rohan, Stephen, and Dake
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