Monday, January 31, 2011

Oil for Food

The term "green" has undergone an overhaul in the past several decades, as the topic of "climate change" was brought to the forefront of global attention. But the world is ignoring the simple fact that we will run out of oil before highly detrimental climate-related events will occur. Then, we won't be worrying about saving the environment, but about FOOD. Oil and food, as of now, are inherently connected, and this interdependency puts the globe at great risk. But why?

The fact is, most of the great powers in the world today use Nitrogenous-Based fertilizers to aide in farming, because using these fertilizers greatly increases the output of food in the area. "Fertilizer-N efficiency on corn in the US has increased more than 30% over the last 20 years..." state Paul E. Fixen and Ford B. West. But, to produce these fertilizers, a massive amount of fuel is required. Lets take one kilogram of fertilizer. To produce this, 1.4-1.8 liters of diesel fuel must be used. "Using the low figure of 1.4 liters diesel equivalent per kilogram of nitrogen, this equates to the energy content of 15.3 billion liters of diesel fuel, or 96.2 million barrels" states Dale Allen Pfeiffer in his article Eating Fossil Fuels. If this is the amount of fuel required to make 1 kilogram of fertilizer, the world is going to run out of oil quite fast if the human population keeps increasing at the rate it currently is. If the human population could be 9.2 billion by 2050, oil will be scarce. By the same token, food production will drop quickly, and, due to increasing food prices from this drop, inhabitants of poorer countries will begin to starve. These are the facts. But what can be done?

First and foremost, people need to STOP HAVING BABIES!!! If the population stops rapidly increasing, it will allow humanity to have some breathing space, and have valuable time to experiment with other fertilizers. If the population can be cut back to five billion at most, great forward progress will have been achieved.

Second, a complete overhaul of the world's energy system must occur, to free up valuable oil for Fertilizer production. This would be most effective if nuclear power was used, but any means of power production that does not involve oil will help.

Third, a new fertilizer production method must be found. Whatever the effort, an alternative must be found. Otherwise, all of these measures will be for nothing, and mass starvation will, inevitably, set in.

Humanity is in a race against time. If these measures are not implemented quickly, human civilization in this modern time faces destruction.

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Saturday, January 29, 2011

Exonians React to the State of the Union (Courtesy of The Exonian)

Our Sputnik Moment


This Tuesday, in front of a divided Congress and a TV audience of 26 million, President Barack Obama declared, in a cautiously optimistic tone, "This is our generation’s Sputnik moment."

Wait—you may ask, what qualifies today as a Sputnik moment? How is it that Obama is equating a cold war Space Race to our moment in history?

Today, the United States is in the middle of a crossroads. China, India and other rapidly developing countries are threatening America’s superpower status. Our economy, despite a year of consistent employment gains, is still sputtering along. Our civil society is plagued by a rancorous, even detrimental public discourse, something that may have contributed to the fatal shootings in Tucson, Arizona. We are fourteen trillion dollars in debt to countries like China—a debt that increases $50,000 every second, according to the U.S. Debt Clock.
At the end of the day, this may be what distinguished the State of the Union Address from the incredible rhetoric that Obama usually provides—the speech was a frank assessment of America’s place in the world, along with the reminder that the United States’ destiny is not written for us, but by us. Obama’s empowering, even nationalistic declaration of a "Sputnik moment" in our history comes with a hint of caution but also inspiration – after all, we have the power to shape our destiny, just like the Americans fifty years ago who defied the odds to help the U.S. win the Space Race.

The heavy whopping that the Democrats took in the November 2010 elections brought to Washington a wave of Republicans, who took over the House and gained a larger minority in the Senate. Realizing that he could not advance his liberal agenda, Obama decided, Tuesday night, to tell the American people that he would focus on creating a slimmer, more efficient government that would only target investments at key areas. In energy, Obama set a goal that 80% of American energy will be clean by 2035 and one million electric vehicles by 2015. In education, he vowed to make a permanent tuition tax credit of $10,000 for four years of college. In infrastructure, Obama aimed to provide 98% of Americans with high speed internet by 2015, along with high-speed rail access to 80% of the population. And to pay for these investments, Obama would freeze annual domestic spending for the next five years (thereby reducing the deficit by $400 billion), and restructure the government for the first time in many decades.

It is clear, therefore, that Obama wants to move towards the center. His vision of government, at least for the next two years, is a leaner, more efficient driving force for economic growth. As a liberal, I am a little upset by his move to the center – but I recognize the enormity of U.S. debt and the divisiveness of Congress forces him to do so. The American people, as a whole, also recognize the compromises he’s making, which is why 92% of viewers approve of the speech, according to a CBS News Poll.

Now, many Republicans who watched the speech last night will complain. They will complain about the lack of specificity in Obama’s policies and plans. They will, as usual, say that the government is too big and that we have to rein in the deficit. They will blindly tell Americans that Obama is spending too much, and instead of investing in education, infrastructure and scientific research, Obama should have pumped money into the corporations of the richest 1% in the nation so that the wealth trickles down to all the rest of us.

The Republicans can continue to follow their talking points, as Representatives Paul Ryan and Michelle Bachmann did in their responses to the State of the Union. Or they can realize that, in the words of Obama, "each of us is a part of something greater—something more consequential than party or political preference." Obama has made some big compromises, and conservatives must make theirs.

That said, Obama’s theme throughout the speech, interestingly enough, was the past versus the future, not the left versus the right, as in previous addresses. He dedicated only a minute to encouraging bipartisanship and the differences between each party in an hour-long speech. His rhetoric, instead of "let’s work together, democrats and republicans," was "let’s win the future, like we did a half century ago with the Space Race." The nationalistic tone was a fresh departure from the politically dominated rhetoric that Obama usually employs. After all, when it’s the U.S. versus China, South Korea or India, bipartisanship is a given.

Obama found his footing for the next two years on Tuesday night. His blueprint is to pursue a leaner, smaller government that remains a central driving force of America’s economy to push America forward. "That’s how we’ll win the future," Obama said. In a way, Obama, on Tuesday, felt like a mix of FDR, Clinton and Reagan. Obama’s defense of Social Security and investment in target areas felt like an excerpt from a FDR speech; his heavy focus on the economy and jobs in the speech were reminiscent of Clinton’s "it’s the economy, stupid" slogan in his campaign; and the nationalistic, cold-war, and "race for the future" rhetoric reminded Americans of a Reagan speech. All in all, it was a speech that amalgamated the styles of three great presidents into one, and a state of the union that may very well signal the turning point to the next surge of the United States.

As Obama affirmed yesterday, "We do big things." Yes, indeed – we do big things. This country was the first nation to be founded on the idea of liberty, a republic that saved others from tyranny — and forty-one years after we won the Space Race, the President on Tuesday called on all of us to compete for the future of the 21st century together.
 

In Obama, Republicans See One of Their Own


President Obama laid out a sweeping agenda for governance in the coming year in his State of the Union address last night. Touching on a vast array of topics, the hour-long speech sought to reframe his presidency and redefine his agenda in response to the results of the midterm elections.

And yet, for all of the rhetorical flourish, there was something distinctly off-putting about the President’s proposals: they weren’t his. Many of them, in fact, have been expressed for years from the other side of the aisle, often loudly so. On issues such as the 1099 rule-- a clause in the President’s health care legislation that obliges businesses to fill out IRS forms for every $600 they spend-- his remarks ran directly contrary to the agenda Obama has pursued for the past two years.

However infuriating this may have been, it’s important to see this development for what it is-- a jump onto the Republican bandwagon. It’s a retreat from the political alliance between Obama and the congressional Democrats, and a surrender to cogent economic arguments from the right. But the President’s shift transcends the back-and-forth of politics. His embrace of reforms that will make government "more affordable… more competent and efficient" will benefit all Americans.

The President even seemed to be reading from a Republican wish list at times. Cutting domestic spending, ending earmarks, cutting the corporate tax rate, simplifying the tax code, advancing on free trade agreements, slashing business regulation, consolidating federal agencies-- there was honestly very little for someone of my political stripe to dislike.
It was about more than just backtracking on past policy, though: President Obama nearly repudiated his vision for the proper role of the federal government. "None of us can predict with certainty what the next big industry will be, or where the new jobs will come from," he said. "I’m not sure how we’ll reach that better place beyond the horizon, but I know we’ll get there. I know we will." Did he not advocate for billions of dollars in industry-specific subsidies over the past two years? Was all of this money spent on a false pretense, on shaky economic reasoning-- as Republicans have argued time and again?

When Obama defended the most significant accomplishments of his time in office, he struck a conciliatory tone that left nearly everything open for negotiation. It was far from the defiant "line in the sand" speech that I imagine some hard-line liberals would have desired. While he said, for example, that he "will not hesitate to create or enforce commonsense safeguards to protect the American people," he also pledged to fix rules that "put an unnecessary burden on businesses." While he vowed to defend specific elements of his health care law, such rules on pre-existing conditions, he wanted to be "the first to say that anything can be improved." What happened to his apparently unwavering confidence as he pushed for cap-and-trade or health care bills? Are these misgivings political or heartfelt?

His rhetoric, however, seemed to stray when he addressed export industries. At three points in his speech, Obama construed world trade as a zero-sum game: the more we export, then the less we import, and the more jobs we have, and the better off we are, according to his logic. This is plainly false. It’s mercantilism-- the flawed notion that national prosperity only comes from shipping out more than you ship in. "The more we export, the more jobs we create at home," Obama said. "At stake is whether new jobs and industries take root in this country, or somewhere else…[and whether] we want to win the future—if we want innovation to produce jobs in America and not overseas."

Innovation can and will produce new jobs and industries both in America and overseas, making Obama’s attachment to exports disturbing. Are we somehow better off if the goods we produce and sell get shipped overseas, where they cannot be used by Americans? Or is it just because that the export industry is made up of large corporations with deeply-entrenched political influence? Does he intend to favor these companies—such as General Electric and JPMorgan, from which he’s recruited top advisers—at the expense of the domestic service industry, which is less politically organized?

While the President’s new stance represented some progress on our gaping fiscal deficit, his comments were hardly impressive in this regard. He did manage to throw cold water on those who had hoped the issue might disappear, saying that "we have to stop pretending." He said it was time to "confront the fact that our government spends more than it takes in. That is not sustainable." Yet when it came to the moment where he might propose the deep, painful cuts to entitlements needed to even out revenues and spending, this gravity vanished. He spoke vaguely about "reducing health care costs" for Medicare and Medicaid and a "bipartisan solution to strengthen Social Security," and there was a reason for this ambiguity. There is no such thing as a government policy that could provide us with health care that’s cheaper, better, and more accessible all at the same time. There are trade-offs, Mr. President, which you have failed to acknowledge.

The President’s case for fiscal discipline wasn’t helped by how he seemed to congratulate his own efforts, which represent only the tiniest fraction of the austerity required. "This freeze will require painful cuts...[and] I’ve proposed cuts to things I care deeply about, like community action programs." Does the President really think that solving our fiscal crisis will come down to, say, scaling down the Forest Service or faith-based initiatives? No, the choices our federal government will have to make in order to live within its means will be much more painful. It will mean deciding between treating terminal cancer under Medicare or teaching electives in public high schools. Is he prepared to make those kinds of choices? Is the American public prepared for those sorts of decisions?

But despite these objections, the President has swung with "the pendulum of public opinion, at least on economic issues," as Joss van Seventer ’10 predicted in The Exonian last year. Obama has accepted that "the world has changed" and that his capacity to change it is significantly limited. Like all those he follows, the presidency has humbled him. He’s relegated himself to the only power a president can honestly claim to have—the nation’s tone-setter, its cheerleader, its public face. He may "spur on" progress, but—as he put it himself—it’s the "free enterprise system [that] drives innovation."
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Monday, January 24, 2011

A Response to Health Care Post


I feel that it is necessary to begin with the title of this piece itself. Republicans, of course, are not proposing to repeal healthcare--that statement is inane--they are intent on repealing the regulatory legislation on health insurance and passed by the past Congress and signed by President Obama. This is a deliberate confusion that liberals make to refute libertarian ideas, one which dates back 150 years to the famous French economist Frederic Bastiat. Bastiat writes:

"Socialism, like the old policy from which it emanates, confounds Government and society. And so, every time we object to a thing being done by Government, it concludes that we object to its being done at all...They might as well accuse us of wishing men not to eat, because we object to the cultivation of corn by the State."

This is an important point in that your argument is built upon the notion that undoing health reforms would be tantamount to eliminating healthcare. It would not be so.

Second, you charge that the January 19 vote to repeal the legislation was "partisanship at its finest." The vote to repeal the legislation passed with a far larger majority (245 votes) than did the original bill (218), so would it not be fair to describe the legislation as "partisanship at its finest"? Additionally, 3 Democrats voted against their party in favor of repeal, whereas no Republicans voted against their party in its favor at the time it was originally passed. 38 Democrats even voted against the bill. Your charge of high partisanship is eminently a double standard.

When you venture in to deficit analysis, your reasoning is terribly misleading. First, you fail to note that the legislation has been gamed to produce a favorable outcome for Democrats at the Congressional Budget Office. For example, the bill pays for 6 years of subsidies with 10 years of taxes by delaying the start of subsidies by four years. Naturally, this budget trick will become obvious in a decade when it is discovered to be insolvent. The idea of any budgetary savings from this legislation is a statistical artifact and a convenient political myth for Democrats. Second, "fiscally responsible" is not increasing taxes more sharply than you increase spending -- the nature of the President's health policy -- it is reducing the size and scope of government through cuts to both spending and taxation.



While the definition of a right is a topic outside the scope of this reply, suffice it to say that the idea of healthcare as a right is utterly inconsistent with the rights of Americans at the federal level. Observe, for example, that the Bill of Rights as framed by our Founders safeguard negative liberty, as opposed to the notion of "positive liberty" espoused by those hungry for centralized authority. Rights "to" something, such as healthcare, are positive; rights "from" something, such as tyranny, are negative. Consider, additionally, the implications of your immediate moral assumption that "health care is a right for all human beings." If A is considered a universal right, than why not B, C, D, and so forth?

Your third assertion is that "there [sic] lack of choice has not lead [sic] them to miss out on anything." This is plainly untrue. The world operates on the idea of scarce resources -- this should be familiar to the reader -- and the efficiency of their allocation is the operative answer to whether the world is prosperous or poor. Fundamentally, there is an enormous opportunity cost to mandating that the government provide healthcare. The required levels of taxation alone are enough to crush an economy -- consider the slew of debt crises across Europe -- and the government is forcing a decision upon its constituents. They must trade the set of all possible outcomes (using that money to attend college, open a business, buy equipment, etc.) for a suboptimal one that operates in a zero-sum, not mutual-gain, economic paradigm.

As to your final point, I would remind you of the Democratic heroes who strove to achieve a goal that many naysayers deemed to be unattainable. Your dismissal of our own goals is unwarranted.

I write this in good faith that I have clarified the issues at stake for you and whoever else may happen to read this response.



Best,
Evan Soltas
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Sunday, January 23, 2011

Republicans attempt to Repeal Health Care

 Republicans tried to repeal Health Care on January 19, 2011. Since all 242 Republicans in the house voted for repealing it, it's certainly partisanship at its finest.


In a report, the Congressional Budget Office said that repealing the 2010 Health Care law would increase the federal budget deficit by a total of $145 billion from 2012 to 2019, and by $230 billion from 2012 to 2021. Republicans usually stand on the platform that laws and policies should be fiscally responsible. From these numbers, it seems that repealing health care would be quite the opposite.


Also, as I'm sure you all know, we have about 30 million uninsured people in the U.S. (I know not all of them want to be insured, but I think it's safe to say that a majority of them do). Repealing health care would keep these people from getting coverage.


Some Republicans argue that it is not the U.S.'s duty to pay for other people's health care, similar to the fact that the U.S. does not pay for housing or cars. I argue that health care is a basic right for all human beings, and therefore the U.S. government should pay for it. (Elective surgeries are a completely different topic.)


Republicans are also trying to repeal this bill because they believe that it is unconstitutional to require people to buy Health Care. The Supreme Court is bound to agree with them later this year. In countries throughout the European Union, people are required to buy health care. Obviously, their lack of choice has not lead them to miss out on anything.


It also does not make any sense to me as to why Republicans would repeal this bill when it is not going to pass through the Senate and would definitely be vetoed by the President. The more viable and less partisan course of action would be instead to pass amendments to the bill. The symbolic action that House Republicans have taken part in is completely unnecessary. 


-Rohan
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Thursday, January 20, 2011

Blogroll

I added you guys to our blogroll so hopefully you'll get some traffic. You probably want some posts though.

http://phillipsexeterrepublicanclub.blogspot.com/

(Link to EPU is below archive list)
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Sunday, January 16, 2011

Obama's Tuscon Speech

    For those of you who haven't yet watched or heard from Barack Obama's Tuscon speech this past week, you should definitely take a look. Many Republicans and Democrats have called the speech his best one yet.  
                                                                                      
   This speech was great because it really touched on the topic of strong rhetoric between both Democrats and Republicans. The question now is whether Republicans and Democrats will actually change their behavior. On "Meet the Press", Senator Chuck Schumer (D-NY) said that he would sit alongside his Republican counter parts during this Wednesday's State of the Union Address. The State of the Union Address is one of the events where party politics is usually most decisive; the members of one party are often found giving a standing ovation, while the members of the other party stay seated and nod their heads in disapproval. The act of sitting together will be more symbolic than anything else. The real question is if Republicans will still try to completely repeal something like the recent Health Care Reform, when they know that any new Health Care bill in the house will not pass through the Senate and will be vetoed by the President. Thoughts?
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Exeter Political Union Blog

Hello everybody!

This blog is a means of communication for anybody who wants to post about a specific topic. Democrats, Socialists, Republicans, and Anarchists are all welcome. No matter your political leaning, feel free to contribute. Also, if you are part of a specific club that supports a certain cause, such as GSA, JHR, Amnesty International, INK, ESSO, EAC, Economics Club, Model U.N. etc, feel free to write about any relevant topic.

Regards,
Rohan, Stephen, and Dake
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